Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.001624 0.001796 0.001966 0.002148 0.002337 0.002526 0.002729
2025-09-28 0.001428 0.001683 0.001942 0.002226 0.002524 0.002828 0.003161
2025-10-05 0.001233 0.001551 0.001883 0.002252 0.002646 0.003053 0.003503
2025-10-12 0.001073 0.001442 0.001835 0.002280 0.002763 0.003267 0.003829
2025-10-19 0.000913 0.001319 0.001764 0.002274 0.002836 0.003428 0.004094
2025-10-26 0.000771 0.001206 0.001693 0.002263 0.002897 0.003572 0.004335
2025-11-02 0.000647 0.001102 0.001625 0.002247 0.002948 0.003700 0.004557
2025-11-09 0.000543 0.001014 0.001570 0.002241 0.003005 0.003832 0.004779
2025-11-16 0.000457 0.000940 0.001525 0.002243 0.003068 0.003966 0.005000
2025-11-23 0.000382 0.000873 0.001486 0.002247 0.003130 0.004097 0.005216
2025-11-30 0.000347 0.000857 0.001504 0.002317 0.003266 0.004309 0.005518
2025-12-07 0.000283 0.000793 0.001461 0.002312 0.003312 0.004419 0.005706
2025-12-14 0.000228 0.000749 0.001457 0.002372 0.003458 0.004666 0.006077
2025-12-21 0.000178 0.000708 0.001454 0.002435 0.003610 0.004922 0.006462
2025-12-28 0.000121 0.000640 0.001414 0.002451 0.003705 0.005115 0.006777
2026-01-04 0.000075 0.000582 0.001381 0.002473 0.003807 0.005316 0.007100
2026-01-11 0.000034 0.000510 0.001325 0.002462 0.003868 0.005467 0.007367
2026-01-18 0.000007 0.000442 0.001267 0.002447 0.003921 0.005609 0.007621
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000378 0.001211 0.002430 0.003969 0.005742 0.007864
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000325 0.001164 0.002422 0.004027 0.005885 0.008116
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000281 0.001125 0.002423 0.004093 0.006036 0.008377
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000241 0.001090 0.002426 0.004161 0.006188 0.008637
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000231 0.001106 0.002499 0.004313 0.006438 0.009008